Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#238
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#249
Pace75.3#65
Improvement+3.0#59

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#251
First Shot-2.7#258
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#226
Layup/Dunks+5.4#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#235
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.0#348
Freethrows+1.2#95
Improvement-0.3#192

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#205
First Shot+0.2#166
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#311
Layups/Dunks-2.4#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#239
Freethrows-0.3#189
Improvement+3.3#33
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 163   @ Northern Illinois L 71-83 24%     0 - 1 -9.3 -1.0 -7.8
  Nov 14, 2015 145   Wright St. W 72-67 29%     1 - 1 +6.2 +3.5 +2.7
  Nov 15, 2015 226   South Dakota L 72-76 47%     1 - 2 -7.8 -7.0 -0.6
  Nov 23, 2015 41   @ USC L 61-96 5%     1 - 3 -21.2 -11.9 -6.0
  Nov 25, 2015 208   @ Loyola Marymount L 80-82 OT 33%     1 - 4 -2.2 -0.4 -1.6
  Nov 29, 2015 63   @ UCLA L 45-77 8%     1 - 5 -20.6 -23.6 +3.0
  Dec 05, 2015 129   Pepperdine L 55-70 34%     1 - 6 -15.5 -17.7 +2.1
  Dec 07, 2015 202   @ San Francisco L 61-65 32%     1 - 7 -3.7 -9.3 +5.3
  Dec 17, 2015 259   @ Portland St. W 77-71 44%     2 - 7 +2.8 -2.1 +4.7
  Dec 23, 2015 263   @ San Diego L 63-81 45%     2 - 8 -21.4 -4.6 -17.6
  Dec 29, 2015 276   @ Idaho St. L 79-84 49%     2 - 9 -9.5 -0.9 -8.2
  Jan 02, 2016 305   Morgan St. W 88-74 77%     3 - 9 +1.6 +2.9 -2.6
  Jan 06, 2016 108   Long Beach St. L 79-94 28%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -13.6 +1.2 -13.7
  Jan 09, 2016 268   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 85-75 46%     4 - 10 1 - 1 +6.4 -2.3 +7.3
  Jan 14, 2016 235   @ UC Davis L 62-63 38%     4 - 11 1 - 2 -2.6 -0.8 -1.9
  Jan 16, 2016 234   UC Riverside L 72-75 60%     4 - 12 1 - 3 -10.3 -8.8 -1.2
  Jan 21, 2016 204   Cal Poly W 76-74 54%     5 - 12 2 - 3 -3.7 -5.5 +1.7
  Jan 23, 2016 104   @ UC Santa Barbara L 61-74 12%     5 - 13 2 - 4 -5.1 -9.8 +5.3
  Jan 27, 2016 98   UC Irvine L 63-73 24%     5 - 14 2 - 5 -7.3 -10.3 +3.5
  Feb 03, 2016 234   @ UC Riverside W 73-71 38%     6 - 14 3 - 5 +0.6 +12.3 -11.4
  Feb 06, 2016 108   @ Long Beach St. L 76-81 14%     6 - 15 3 - 6 +2.2 +4.2 -1.8
  Feb 10, 2016 268   Cal St. Fullerton W 75-67 68%     7 - 15 4 - 6 -1.4 -9.2 +7.1
  Feb 13, 2016 98   @ UC Irvine L 84-93 11%     7 - 16 4 - 7 -0.5 -0.6 +2.0
  Feb 18, 2016 68   Hawaii L 63-69 18%     7 - 17 4 - 8 -0.8 -5.7 +4.9
  Feb 20, 2016 204   @ Cal Poly W 75-71 OT 32%     8 - 17 5 - 8 +4.1 -3.9 +7.8
  Feb 25, 2016 104   UC Santa Barbara L 63-78 26%     8 - 18 5 - 9 -13.0 -14.6 +3.4
  Feb 27, 2016 68   @ Hawaii L 78-89 8%     8 - 19 5 - 10 +0.1 -1.4 +3.4
  Mar 05, 2016 235   UC Davis L 83-87 3OT 61%     8 - 20 5 - 11 -11.4 -9.4 -1.0
Projected Record 8.0 - 20.0 5.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%